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“Canada Plans 20% Cut in Immigration for 2025: What You Need to Know”

Canada’s Immigration Policy Update  On October 24, the Canadian government announced changes to its Immigration Levels Plan, significantly reducing targets for both permanent and temporary resident admissions over the next three years.  Discover if You Are Eligible for Canadian Immigration Permanent Resident Targets  The updated targets for permanent resident admissions are as follows:  2025: 395,000 (revised down from 485,000 for 2024 and the previous target of 500,000 for 2024-2026).  2026: 380,000 (down from the earlier 500,000 target).  2027: 365,000.  Despite the overall reduction in immigration targets, the government plans to maintain a focus on economic immigration, with economic immigration targets for 2025 decreasing only 17% (from 281,000 to 232,000). Over 40% of these economic immigrants are expected to transition from temporary resident status already in Canada.  Prime Minister Justin Trudeau highlighted the importance of immigration to the Canadian economy, stating, “It’s made our economy the envy of the world.”  The government has set out the following breakdown of permanent resident admissions for the next three years:  Immigration Category 2025 2026 2027 Total PR admissions and ranges 395,000 (367,000 – 436,000) 380,000 (352,000 – 416,000) 365,000 (338,000 – 401,000) French-speaking admissions outside of Quebec 8.5% (29,325) 9.5% (31,350) 10% (31,500) Economic Immigration 232,150 (215,000 – 256,000) 229,750 (214,000 – 249,000) 225,350 (207,000 – 246,000) Family Reunification 94,500 (88,500 – 102,000) 88,000 (82,000 – 96,000) 81,000 (77,000-89,000) Refugees, Protected Persons, Humanitarian and Compassionate, and Other 68,350 (63,500 – 78,000) 62,250 (56,000 – 71,000) 58,650 (54,000 – 66,000) Changes to Provincial Nominee Programs (PNPs)  The new plan includes significant cuts to the targets for Provincial Nominee Program admissions, with a reduction of approximately 50%:  2025: 55,000 (down from 110,000 for 2024 and 120,000 for 2025).  2026: 55,000 (previously 120,000).  2027: 55,000.  This marks a considerable shift in the federal government’s immigration policy.  Federal High-Skilled Economic Immigration Increase  In contrast to the cuts in PNP targets, the federal government is increasing the targets for federal high-skilled programs, which are managed through Express Entry:  2025: 124,680 (up from 110,770 for 2024 and 117,500 for 2025).  2026: 123,230 (increased from 117,500).  2027: 118,730.  These figures were calculated by summing the “Federal Economic Priorities” and “In-Canada Focus” categories from this year’s supplementary information.  Focus on French-Speaking Immigrants Outside Quebec  The federal government aims to boost the proportion of French-speaking immigrants settling outside Quebec:  2025: 8.5%  2026: 9.5%  2027: 10%  Temporary Resident Admissions  For the first time, the Immigration Levels Plan includes specific targets for temporary resident admissions. The government plans to reduce the proportion of temporary residents from 7% to 5% of Canada’s total population by the end of 2026. The expected decline in temporary residents is attributed to a reduction in work permits issued under the International Mobility Program (IMP) and the expiration of existing temporary resident statuses:  2025: 285,750 work permits under IMP.  2026: 128,700 work permits under IMP (significant reduction).  Work permits under the Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) will remain stable at 82,000 per year for the next three years.  The government has proposed the following breakdown for admissions of temporary residents in Canada for the next three years:  In an unusual move, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau took the lead in kicking off the announcement – which is normally handled by the Immigration Minister. Trudeau lauded Canadian immigration, saying “It’s made our economy the envy of the world.” Immigration Category 2025 2026 2027 Total PR admissions and ranges 395,000 (367,000 – 436,000) 380,000 (352,000 – 416,000) 365,000 (338,000 – 401,000) French-speaking admissions outside of Quebec 8.5% (29,325) 9.5% (31,350) 10% (31,500) Economic Immigration 232,150 (215,000 – 256,000) 229,750 (214,000 – 249,000) 225,350 (207,000 – 246,000) Family Reunification 94,500 (88,500 – 102,000) 88,000 (82,000 – 96,000) 81,000 (77,000-89,000) Refugees, Protected Persons, Humanitarian and Compassionate, and Other 68,350 (63,500 – 78,000) 62,250 (56,000 – 71,000) 58,650 (54,000 – 66,000) 2024 Cap on Study Permit Applications  In a bid to manage the growing number of foreign nationals on study permits, the IRCC announced a cap on international student admissions:  A maximum of 360,000 new study permits for undergraduate and college students in 2024.  This policy will now be a permanent feature of Canada’s international student program and will also apply to master’s and PhD students.  Reforms to the Temporary Foreign Worker Program  The TFWP has faced scrutiny, and Prime Minister Trudeau condemned businesses for “exploiting cheap foreign labour.” As a result, the government has made several changes:  Suspension of processing Labour Market Impact Assessments (LMIAs) for the low-wage stream in Montreal and other metropolitan areas with an unemployment rate of 6% or higher.  A reduction in the length of TFWP work permits for low-wage jobs from two years to one year.  Other Measures to Reduce Work Permit Numbers  On September 18, Minister Miller outlined changes expected to yield the following reductions over the next three years:  300,000 fewer study permits  175,000 fewer Post-Graduation Work Permits (PGWPs)  150,000 fewer spousal open work permits  Key changes include:  PGWPs will only be available to graduates from programs aligned with in-demand jobs.  A language test will be required for PGWPs.  Master’s programs must last at least 18 months for spouses of students to qualify for spousal open work permits.  Graduates from specific bachelor’s, master’s, and PhD programs will still be eligible for PGWPs regardless of their field of study, but college graduates will need a Canadian Language Benchmark (CLB) of 5, while university graduates will require a CLB of 7.  Understanding the Immigration Levels Plan  The Immigration Levels Plan is the government’s official outline for its immigration strategy, including annual targets for the coming years. Although the overall targets for new permanent residents have decreased, the 2025 targets still exceed pre-pandemic levels.  It is important to note that the Plan does not account for all foreign nationals staying in Canada long-term, such as asylum seekers or those on super visas.  Rationale Behind the Changes  Minister Miller described these adjustments as representing a “middle of the road” approach, asserting that the government has a “controlled immigration plan that we can

NEWS

Immigration fuels Alberta’s record-breaking population growth

Alberta has been seeing population growth that breaks records. The province of Alberta has experienced exponential increase in both interprovincial and international immigration, according to recent data from the government’s Office of Statistics and Information. The population of the province increased by 204,677, or 4.41%, between April 2023 and April 24. This represents the largest year-over-year growth rate in 2023–24 among all Canadian provinces. For the entire country of Canada, the yearly growth rate during the same period was 3.20%. Discover if You Are Eligible for Canadian Immigration It shows a significant increase from the 3.67% growth rate Alberta experienced between 2022-23 and is also the highest year-over-year growth the province has experienced as of April 1 since 1981. Much of Alberta’s population growth comes from international migration. In the first quarter of 2024 alone, international migration added 32,893 net new residents to Alberta. This includes both permanent, and temporary residents (those holding work or study permits or asylum claimants). Alberta is also seeing strong net gains from interprovincial migration—people moving from other Canadian provinces such as Ontario, BC, Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia, and Manitoba. According to Statistics Canada, from July 1, 2022, to July 1, 2023, Alberta saw the highest net gains from people moving between provinces, surpassing British Columbia. All four major cities in Alberta grew significantly: Calgary gained 26,662 residents, Edmonton added 16,082, Lethbridge increased by 1,651, and Red Deer grew by 1,277 people. In contrast, every major metropolitan area in Ontario saw a net loss from interprovincial migration during the 12 months leading up to July 1, 2023. Why are so many newcomers choosing Alberta over other Canadian provinces? As Statistics Canada points out, this influx is “in-line with the analysis from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Housing Market Outlook” which indicates that more affordable home prices and a stronger economic outlook make the prairie provinces attractive to job seekers and home buyers – especially when compared to British Columbia and Ontario. Relatively affordable housing While the province has seen an increase in property prices in recent years, it is still seen as a more affordable option, especially when compared to cities in Ontario and B.C. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), in the second quarter of 2024, the median price for a single detached home in Calgary was $710,000, while townhouses cost $454,000, and apartments $330,000. In Edmonton (the second largest census metropolitan area in Alberta), the median price for a detached home was $485,000, townhouses were $294,500, and apartments were $188,000. Additionally, Alberta does not have land transfer tax, making it a more affordable option for out-of-province homebuyers. In comparison to Toronto (Ontario), the median sale price for a detached home was $1,300,000 in the second quarter of 2024. Semi-detached units were going for $1,041,000 while condominium apartments were going for $640,000. Economic growth and changing job landscape Alberta’s real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise 3.3% in 2024, up 0.4 percentage points from Budget 2024. According to the Business Council of Alberta’s report “Who’s Hiring in Alberta?” which uses publicly available job postings from 2018-23, Alberta’s labour market is no longer closely attached to the price of oil and gas, as was the case in previous years. While demand for energy workers has “stabilized,” there has been increase in demand for trades and healthcare occupations which has “far outpaced population growth.” The report also notes growth in job postings requiring a collage diploma or apprenticeship training. Tech skills such as business intelligence or data analysis may also be important to employers in the province. Meanwhile, postings for categories of engineering occupations fell more than 60%. The province introduced a distinct PNP stream for tourism and hospitality earlier this year, a sign of growing demand in that industry. The government has also directed its Express Entry lotteries toward healthcare professionals. If a candidate has a job offer in one of the province’s qualified health care occupations, they may be eligible for permanent residence in Alberta under the Alberta Advantage Immigration Program (AAIP) Dedicated Healthcare Pathway. Discover if You Are Eligible for Canadian Immigration

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