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Immigration Levels 2025-2027

NEWS

“Immigration Levels Plan 2024: How It Impacts Express Entry Success Rates”

The most recent Immigration Levels Plan in Canada has important ramifications for foreigners using the Express Entry system to apply for permanent residence. The Plan states that additional seats for permanent residency have been set aside for Express Entry applicants in 2025. These modifications should be advantageous to two categories of candidates: Canadian candidates; and applicants who are eligible for drawings based on categories. In 2025, it will likely be more difficult for candidates who do not fit into the aforementioned emphasis categories to receive an invitation to apply (ITA) through Express Entry. Increase in the allotment for Express Entry The federal government actually boosted the funding for Express Entry even though it reduced the goals for admissions of permanent residents by around 20% for 2025: 2025 target – current Plan 2025 target – last year’s Plan 2024 target – last year’s Plan 124,680 117,500 110,770 The combined 2025 objective of 124,680 for the “In-Canada Focus” and “Economic Priorities” categories is higher than the 2024 target as well as the 2025 target from the Immigration Levels Plan from the previous year. In 2024, the IRCC set a target of 110,770 for the “federal high skilled” (FHS) category, which includes the three federal immigration programs controlled by Express Entry: the Federal Skilled Trades Program (FSTP), the Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP), and the Canadian Experience Class (CEC). The IRCC set a goal of 117,500 for FHS in 2025 in the Immigration Levels Plan from the previous year. Applicants hoping to enter through programs run by Express Entry should anticipate receiving more invites in 2025 than in 2024. Canadian candidate prioritization The IRCC added a new category called “In-Canada Focus” to the budget for economic immigration for programs run by Express Entry in this year’s Plan. With the creation of this category, candidates who are already residing in Canada might anticipate that their chances of being invited to apply (ITA) would rise in 2025. For 2025, IRCC set a target of 82,980 for this category—about 42% of the federal economic immigration target of 197,650.* Overseas candidates for the FSWP or FSTP can expect reduced chances of receiving ITAs. *We’ve taken the total economic immigration target of 232,150 and subtracted the 34,500 for Quebec Skilled Workers and Business. Quebec controls its own immigration targets and admissions. Get a Free Express Entry Assessment

NEWS

“Canada Plans 20% Cut in Immigration for 2025: What You Need to Know”

Canada’s Immigration Policy Update  On October 24, the Canadian government announced changes to its Immigration Levels Plan, significantly reducing targets for both permanent and temporary resident admissions over the next three years.  Discover if You Are Eligible for Canadian Immigration Permanent Resident Targets  The updated targets for permanent resident admissions are as follows:  2025: 395,000 (revised down from 485,000 for 2024 and the previous target of 500,000 for 2024-2026).  2026: 380,000 (down from the earlier 500,000 target).  2027: 365,000.  Despite the overall reduction in immigration targets, the government plans to maintain a focus on economic immigration, with economic immigration targets for 2025 decreasing only 17% (from 281,000 to 232,000). Over 40% of these economic immigrants are expected to transition from temporary resident status already in Canada.  Prime Minister Justin Trudeau highlighted the importance of immigration to the Canadian economy, stating, “It’s made our economy the envy of the world.”  The government has set out the following breakdown of permanent resident admissions for the next three years:  Immigration Category 2025 2026 2027 Total PR admissions and ranges 395,000 (367,000 – 436,000) 380,000 (352,000 – 416,000) 365,000 (338,000 – 401,000) French-speaking admissions outside of Quebec 8.5% (29,325) 9.5% (31,350) 10% (31,500) Economic Immigration 232,150 (215,000 – 256,000) 229,750 (214,000 – 249,000) 225,350 (207,000 – 246,000) Family Reunification 94,500 (88,500 – 102,000) 88,000 (82,000 – 96,000) 81,000 (77,000-89,000) Refugees, Protected Persons, Humanitarian and Compassionate, and Other 68,350 (63,500 – 78,000) 62,250 (56,000 – 71,000) 58,650 (54,000 – 66,000) Changes to Provincial Nominee Programs (PNPs)  The new plan includes significant cuts to the targets for Provincial Nominee Program admissions, with a reduction of approximately 50%:  2025: 55,000 (down from 110,000 for 2024 and 120,000 for 2025).  2026: 55,000 (previously 120,000).  2027: 55,000.  This marks a considerable shift in the federal government’s immigration policy.  Federal High-Skilled Economic Immigration Increase  In contrast to the cuts in PNP targets, the federal government is increasing the targets for federal high-skilled programs, which are managed through Express Entry:  2025: 124,680 (up from 110,770 for 2024 and 117,500 for 2025).  2026: 123,230 (increased from 117,500).  2027: 118,730.  These figures were calculated by summing the “Federal Economic Priorities” and “In-Canada Focus” categories from this year’s supplementary information.  Focus on French-Speaking Immigrants Outside Quebec  The federal government aims to boost the proportion of French-speaking immigrants settling outside Quebec:  2025: 8.5%  2026: 9.5%  2027: 10%  Temporary Resident Admissions  For the first time, the Immigration Levels Plan includes specific targets for temporary resident admissions. The government plans to reduce the proportion of temporary residents from 7% to 5% of Canada’s total population by the end of 2026. The expected decline in temporary residents is attributed to a reduction in work permits issued under the International Mobility Program (IMP) and the expiration of existing temporary resident statuses:  2025: 285,750 work permits under IMP.  2026: 128,700 work permits under IMP (significant reduction).  Work permits under the Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) will remain stable at 82,000 per year for the next three years.  The government has proposed the following breakdown for admissions of temporary residents in Canada for the next three years:  In an unusual move, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau took the lead in kicking off the announcement – which is normally handled by the Immigration Minister. Trudeau lauded Canadian immigration, saying “It’s made our economy the envy of the world.” Immigration Category 2025 2026 2027 Total PR admissions and ranges 395,000 (367,000 – 436,000) 380,000 (352,000 – 416,000) 365,000 (338,000 – 401,000) French-speaking admissions outside of Quebec 8.5% (29,325) 9.5% (31,350) 10% (31,500) Economic Immigration 232,150 (215,000 – 256,000) 229,750 (214,000 – 249,000) 225,350 (207,000 – 246,000) Family Reunification 94,500 (88,500 – 102,000) 88,000 (82,000 – 96,000) 81,000 (77,000-89,000) Refugees, Protected Persons, Humanitarian and Compassionate, and Other 68,350 (63,500 – 78,000) 62,250 (56,000 – 71,000) 58,650 (54,000 – 66,000) 2024 Cap on Study Permit Applications  In a bid to manage the growing number of foreign nationals on study permits, the IRCC announced a cap on international student admissions:  A maximum of 360,000 new study permits for undergraduate and college students in 2024.  This policy will now be a permanent feature of Canada’s international student program and will also apply to master’s and PhD students.  Reforms to the Temporary Foreign Worker Program  The TFWP has faced scrutiny, and Prime Minister Trudeau condemned businesses for “exploiting cheap foreign labour.” As a result, the government has made several changes:  Suspension of processing Labour Market Impact Assessments (LMIAs) for the low-wage stream in Montreal and other metropolitan areas with an unemployment rate of 6% or higher.  A reduction in the length of TFWP work permits for low-wage jobs from two years to one year.  Other Measures to Reduce Work Permit Numbers  On September 18, Minister Miller outlined changes expected to yield the following reductions over the next three years:  300,000 fewer study permits  175,000 fewer Post-Graduation Work Permits (PGWPs)  150,000 fewer spousal open work permits  Key changes include:  PGWPs will only be available to graduates from programs aligned with in-demand jobs.  A language test will be required for PGWPs.  Master’s programs must last at least 18 months for spouses of students to qualify for spousal open work permits.  Graduates from specific bachelor’s, master’s, and PhD programs will still be eligible for PGWPs regardless of their field of study, but college graduates will need a Canadian Language Benchmark (CLB) of 5, while university graduates will require a CLB of 7.  Understanding the Immigration Levels Plan  The Immigration Levels Plan is the government’s official outline for its immigration strategy, including annual targets for the coming years. Although the overall targets for new permanent residents have decreased, the 2025 targets still exceed pre-pandemic levels.  It is important to note that the Plan does not account for all foreign nationals staying in Canada long-term, such as asylum seekers or those on super visas.  Rationale Behind the Changes  Minister Miller described these adjustments as representing a “middle of the road” approach, asserting that the government has a “controlled immigration plan that we can

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